Zambia’s debut 10-year 500million dollars
Euro-bond has been assigned a B plus rating by both S and P and Fitch earlier
today.
The bond is expected to be issued anytime
from today after marketing road shows took place this week in both London and
the US.
according to Reuters In assigning the rating,
Fitch cited Zambia’s political stability, combined with a decade of growth
above 6 percent thanks to a stable macroeconomic environment and policy
reforms.
The country’s vibrant copper mining sector
and overall fiscal discipline were also mentioned as key strengths.
On its part S and P highlighted Zambia’s
promising investment and economic growth trends, a fairly strong external
balance sheet, and moderate general government debt.
Going forward though, risks remain and
explain the negative outlook placed on the rating.
On its part, Fitch cited the risks posed by a
potential failure to curb current expenditure, particularly on wages, which
consume 43percent of government revenue; while S and P mentioned the increased
economic policy uncertainty since the new administration took office.
Most eyes will be on whether the yield on the
Euro-bond will come in line with Ghana, also rated B plus.
Reuters who have cited analysts mentioned the
yield could come in the 5.5 percent-7.5 percent range, so at premium with
Ghana’s 8.5 percent 2017 dollar-denominated Euro-bond, currently at around 4.75
percent.
They have stated that the yield is likely to
come at premium to Ghana’s, because of Zambia’s current high vulnerability to
slowing China, a key market for its copper exports.
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